Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudette wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.5% vs Grant 52.2% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 87.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 57.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 71.1%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Gaudette
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Gaudette
Grant
Last 8: Gaudette 2-6 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Grant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Gaudette
Grant
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
4
Gaudette
Grant
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (343)
54.7% (397)
-14.8%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
62.5% (8)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.5% (110)
+5.5%
On power play, Grant has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Gaudette is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Gaudette shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Grant
Home
39.1% (225)
53.6% (222)
Away
42.5% (146)
51.9% (293)
By Period
Gaudette
Grant
P1
45.0%
48.5%
P2
42.6%
54.3%
P3
34.6%
55.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
40.4%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |