Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Grant 52.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 92.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 62.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 75.0%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Gaudette
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Gaudette
Grant
Last 9: Gaudette 2-7 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Grant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Gaudette
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
4
Gaudette
Grant
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
53.7% (2,864)
-10.0%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
61.7% (175)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
46.0% (922)
+0.7%
On power play, Grant has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Grant
Home
45.9% (912)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
41.9% (754)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Gaudette
Grant
P1
44.4%
51.1%
P2
46.5%
51.5%
P3
41.1%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |