Adam Gaudette vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.9%). Gaudette wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 64.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 59.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
47.3% (207)
-1.6%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
100.0% (3)
-40.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Gaudette is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Gaudette shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
Home
48.4% (91)
46.5% (129)
Away
47.4% (133)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Gaudette
Kotkaniemi
P1
45.2%
51.3%
P2
51.9%
46.1%
P3
45.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |