Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs Larsson 48.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 84.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 84.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 54.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Gaudette
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Gaudette
Larsson
Last 8: Gaudette 4-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
4
Gaudette
Larsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
48.4% (506)
-7.4%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
62.5% (24)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
44.9% (138)
-2.0%
On power play, Larsson has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Gaudette is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Gaudette shoots right. Larsson is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Larsson
Home
46.0% (250)
51.9% (335)
Away
35.3% (204)
44.4% (333)
By Period
Gaudette
Larsson
P1
40.8%
48.7%
P2
42.8%
48.3%
P3
39.7%
48.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
41.2%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |