Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Larsson 49.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 84.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 80.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 52.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Gaudette
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Gaudette
Larsson
Last 8: Gaudette 4-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
4
Gaudette
Larsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
50.5% (4,382)
-6.8%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
47.7% (153)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
43.8% (714)
+2.9%
On even strength, Larsson has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Larsson
Home
45.9% (912)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
41.9% (754)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Gaudette
Larsson
P1
44.4%
51.6%
P2
46.5%
49.7%
P3
41.1%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |