Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.5%). Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Danforth 49.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 70.8%
Defensive zone
Danforth 76.2%
Neutral zone
Danforth 57.3%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Gaudette
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Gaudette
Danforth
Last 7: Gaudette 6-1 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Danforth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Danforth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
50.5% (546)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
50.0% (14)
+8.3%
On power play, Gaudette has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Gaudette is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Gaudette shoots right. Danforth is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Danforth
Home
54.4% (206)
51.1% (315)
Away
44.4% (144)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Gaudette
Danforth
P1
49.2%
49.5%
P2
50.4%
51.4%
P3
51.6%
46.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |