Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Sourdif 45.9% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 53.7%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 54.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 54.3%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Gaudette
Sourdif
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
44.6% (556)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
50.0% (24)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
61.5% (13)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Sourdif is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Sourdif
Home
48.4% (91)
43.6% (321)
Away
47.4% (133)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Gaudette
Sourdif
P1
45.2%
43.1%
P2
51.9%
43.9%
P3
45.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%