Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 60.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 85.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 71.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Gaudette
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Gaudette
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
58.6% (797)
-8.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
62.5% (24)
-4.2%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gaudette is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Gaudette shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Stenlund
Home
54.4% (206)
58.6% (548)
Away
44.4% (144)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Gaudette
Stenlund
P1
49.2%
60.2%
P2
50.4%
59.1%
P3
51.6%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |