Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Rossi 46.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 60.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 53.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 54.8%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Gaudette
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudette
Rossi
Last 5: Gaudette 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
3
Gaudette
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
47.0% (2,140)
-3.3%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
47.3% (188)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
34.1% (44)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Rossi
Home
45.9% (912)
47.8% (1,207)
Away
41.9% (754)
45.7% (1,165)
By Period
Gaudette
Rossi
P1
44.4%
47.3%
P2
46.5%
44.8%
P3
41.1%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
46.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |