Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs Jankowski 45.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 82.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 62.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 62.5%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Gaudette
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gaudette
Jankowski
Last 6: Gaudette 2-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
3
Gaudette
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
46.7% (349)
-5.7%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
50.0% (6)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
34.3% (70)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Gaudette is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Gaudette shoots right. Jankowski is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Jankowski
Home
46.0% (250)
47.0% (183)
Away
35.3% (204)
43.0% (242)
By Period
Gaudette
Jankowski
P1
40.8%
44.5%
P2
42.8%
42.9%
P3
39.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
42.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
41.2%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |