Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Jankowski 53.6% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 64.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 58.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 50.5%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Gaudette
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Gaudette
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Gaudette
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Gaudette
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
54.1% (527)
-8.4%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
50.0% (14)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
57.5% (40)
-7.5%
On power play, Gaudette has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Gaudette is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Gaudette shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Jankowski
Home
48.4% (91)
53.9% (310)
Away
47.4% (133)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Gaudette
Jankowski
P1
45.2%
54.6%
P2
51.9%
56.3%
P3
45.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |