Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.5% vs Koivu 54.1% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 83.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 72.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 81.8%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Gaudette
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Gaudette
Koivu
Last 6: Gaudette 0-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Gaudette
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Gaudette
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (343)
55.1% (672)
-15.2%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
56.5% (115)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.5% (107)
+0.5%
On even strength, Koivu has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Gaudette is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Gaudette shoots right. Koivu is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Koivu
Home
39.1% (225)
56.6% (410)
Away
42.5% (146)
52.9% (484)
By Period
Gaudette
Koivu
P1
45.0%
51.7%
P2
42.6%
56.7%
P3
34.6%
55.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
40.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |