Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Koivu 54.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 76.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 77.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 75.6%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Gaudette
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Gaudette
Koivu
Last 9: Gaudette 2-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
5
Gaudette
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Gaudette
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
54.0% (9,465)
-10.3%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
58.6% (2,100)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
48.9% (1,688)
-2.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Koivu
Home
45.9% (912)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
41.9% (754)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Gaudette
Koivu
P1
44.4%
53.5%
P2
46.5%
54.6%
P3
41.1%
54.0%
OT
100.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |