Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Thompson 52.9% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Gaudette leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 67.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 88.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 69.7%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Gaudette
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Gaudette
Thompson
Last 10: Gaudette 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Gaudette
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
4
3
Gaudette
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
54.1% (5,812)
-10.4%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
54.8% (135)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
47.9% (1,381)
-1.2%
On even strength, Thompson has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Thompson
Home
45.9% (912)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
41.9% (754)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Gaudette
Thompson
P1
44.4%
53.2%
P2
46.5%
52.9%
P3
41.1%
52.8%
OT
100.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |