Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Kadri 48.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 63.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 66.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 64.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Gaudette
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gaudette
Kadri
Last 9: Gaudette 5-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudette
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
48.2% (12,510)
-4.5%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
53.0% (1,892)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
41.0% (293)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kadri
Home
45.9% (912)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
41.9% (754)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Gaudette
Kadri
P1
44.4%
49.2%
P2
46.5%
48.8%
P3
41.1%
48.0%
OT
100.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |