Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 53.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 56.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 51.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Gaudette
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Gaudette
Stastny
Last 10: Gaudette 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Gaudette
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
2
Gaudette
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Gaudette
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
54.6% (10,616)
-10.9%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
59.1% (1,994)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
52.9% (1,119)
-6.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Stastny
Home
45.9% (912)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
41.9% (754)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Gaudette
Stastny
P1
44.4%
56.3%
P2
46.5%
55.4%
P3
41.1%
53.5%
OT
100.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |