Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 44.3%). Gaudette wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Donato 44.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 56.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 51.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 51.4%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Gaudette
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudette
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Gaudette
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Gaudette
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
44.0% (1,218)
+0.0%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
46.0% (248)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
41.7% (12)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Gaudette is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,202).
Gaudette shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Donato
Home
46.0% (913)
47.2% (743)
Away
42.6% (770)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Gaudette
Donato
P1
44.9%
43.8%
P2
46.6%
44.9%
P3
41.4%
43.7%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |