Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.8% vs 44.7%). Gaudette wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.1% vs Donato 45.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 57.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 62.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 59.8%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Gaudette
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudette
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Gaudette
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Gaudette
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,410)
44.4% (1,096)
-1.1%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
46.3% (240)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
36.4% (11)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Gaudette is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,141).
Gaudette shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Donato
Home
45.5% (888)
47.7% (708)
Away
41.6% (714)
41.3% (639)
By Period
Gaudette
Donato
P1
44.2%
43.5%
P2
45.9%
45.4%
P3
40.8%
44.4%
OT
100.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
46.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
43.8%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |