Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Copp 49.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 56.9%
Defensive zone
Copp 73.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 57.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Henrique
Copp
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Henrique
Copp
Last 6: Henrique 2-4 Copp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
0
3
Henrique
Copp
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Copp
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
0
1
Henrique
Copp
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Copp
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
50.3% (947)
+1.6%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
54.6% (119)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
45.5% (233)
-2.8%
On power play, Henrique has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Copp shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Henrique
Copp
Home
53.1% (339)
51.3% (667)
Away
49.1% (330)
48.3% (632)
By Period
Henrique
Copp
P1
48.5%
50.2%
P2
48.6%
51.8%
P3
54.2%
48.0%
OT
70.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | OT | 00:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |