Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lundell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Lundell 52.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 75.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 63.0%
Neutral zone
Lundell 55.3%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Henrique
Lundell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Henrique
Lundell
Last 7: Henrique 3-4 Lundell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
0
4
Henrique
Lundell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Lundell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Lundell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lundell
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
54.6% (804)
+2.9%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.6% (81)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
44.9% (138)
+0.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundell shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lundell
Home
56.4% (518)
51.2% (527)
Away
54.9% (492)
54.8% (496)
By Period
Henrique
Lundell
P1
56.0%
53.7%
P2
55.2%
51.7%
P3
56.2%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |