Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.4%). Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Lizotte 50.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 58.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Henrique
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Henrique
Lizotte
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
3
Henrique
Lizotte
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
7
Henrique
Lizotte
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
2
Henrique
Lizotte
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
51.6% (3,068)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
48.1% (81)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
42.3% (437)
+3.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lizotte
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.5% (1,840)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
51.4% (1,746)
By Period
Henrique
Lizotte
P1
50.6%
48.0%
P2
51.4%
52.3%
P3
50.2%
50.5%
OT
40.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |