Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Lizotte 50.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 68.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 57.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Henrique
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Henrique
Lizotte
Last 5: Henrique 3-2 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Lizotte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
2
Henrique
Lizotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Lizotte
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
53.5% (299)
+4.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
0.0% (4)
+73.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
38.6% (44)
+6.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +73.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lizotte
Home
56.4% (518)
52.0% (198)
Away
54.9% (492)
49.7% (149)
By Period
Henrique
Lizotte
P1
56.0%
50.0%
P2
55.2%
50.9%
P3
56.2%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |