Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.9%). Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Horvat 53.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 75.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 67.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 54.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Henrique
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Henrique
Horvat
Last 10: Henrique 8-2 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
3
Henrique
Horvat
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
Horvat
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
53.5% (1,071)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
56.3% (272)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
51.3% (76)
-3.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Henrique
Horvat
Home
56.4% (553)
54.2% (714)
Away
50.0% (530)
53.6% (705)
By Period
Henrique
Horvat
P1
51.7%
53.5%
P2
55.5%
56.3%
P3
52.5%
53.5%
OT
66.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |