Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Schenn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Schenn 52.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 78.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 61.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Henrique
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
3
Henrique
Schenn
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Schenn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
0
1
Henrique
Schenn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
52.2% (962)
+5.3%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
51.2% (166)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
57.4% (54)
-11.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Home / Away
Henrique
Schenn
Home
56.4% (518)
51.1% (575)
Away
54.9% (492)
53.4% (607)
By Period
Henrique
Schenn
P1
56.0%
51.4%
P2
55.2%
52.7%
P3
56.2%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |