Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Blackwell 49.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 53.7%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 66.1%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 52.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Henrique
Blackwell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Henrique
Blackwell
Last 6: Henrique 3-3 Blackwell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Blackwell
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
0
1
Henrique
Blackwell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Blackwell
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
48.4% (184)
+9.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
66.7% (3)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
49.6% (121)
-4.1%
On even strength, Henrique has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blackwell shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Blackwell is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Henrique
Blackwell
Home
56.4% (518)
41.7% (151)
Away
54.9% (492)
56.1% (157)
By Period
Henrique
Blackwell
P1
56.0%
46.5%
P2
55.2%
52.4%
P3
56.2%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |