Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Sissons 55.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 55.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Henrique
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Sissons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
0
1
Henrique
Sissons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
57.0% (428)
-0.9%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
58.8% (17)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
54.2% (118)
-3.4%
On power play, Sissons has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Henrique
Sissons
Home
53.5% (215)
52.9% (263)
Away
55.2% (306)
59.7% (300)
By Period
Henrique
Sissons
P1
57.7%
56.3%
P2
53.8%
57.8%
P3
51.6%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |