Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 42-33 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 72.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 58.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Henrique
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
33
(75 meetings)
42
33
Henrique
Nielsen
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
13
6
Henrique
Nielsen
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
9
7
Henrique
Nielsen
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
20
20
Henrique
Nielsen
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
49.3% (7,608)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
54.7% (594)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
41.7% (1,420)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nielsen
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Henrique
Nielsen
P1
50.6%
49.7%
P2
51.4%
47.6%
P3
50.2%
48.2%
OT
40.6%
46.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 8, 2018 | OT | 02:51 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 8, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |