Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Vilardi 46.9% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 79.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 85.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Henrique
Vilardi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Vilardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
0
1
Henrique
Vilardi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Vilardi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
42.0% (69)
+14.1%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
50.0% (24)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
0.0% (1)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Vilardi is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Henrique
Vilardi
Home
53.5% (215)
40.8% (49)
Away
55.2% (306)
46.7% (45)
By Period
Henrique
Vilardi
P1
57.7%
50.0%
P2
53.8%
37.1%
P3
51.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |