Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Vilardi 48.4% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 67.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 70.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.5%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Henrique
Vilardi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Henrique
Vilardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
0
2
Henrique
Vilardi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Vilardi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
56.1% (41)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
22.2% (18)
+28.4%
On power play, Henrique has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Vilardi is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Henrique
Vilardi
Home
56.4% (553)
46.9% (32)
Away
50.0% (530)
44.4% (27)
By Period
Henrique
Vilardi
P1
51.7%
57.1%
P2
55.5%
40.0%
P3
52.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |