Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Compher 48.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 52.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 68.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 56.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Henrique
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Henrique
Compher
Last 9: Henrique 3-6 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
4
Henrique
Compher
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Henrique
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
49.3% (1,149)
+2.6%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
53.9% (204)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
43.6% (312)
-0.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Henrique
Compher
Home
53.1% (339)
50.7% (872)
Away
49.1% (330)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Henrique
Compher
P1
48.5%
49.9%
P2
48.6%
47.9%
P3
54.2%
49.0%
OT
70.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | OT | 03:53 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |