Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs McCann 46.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 82.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 63.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 79.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Henrique
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
McCann
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
McCann
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
McCann
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
McCann
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
46.5% (477)
+7.0%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
46.3% (41)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
46.2% (52)
+4.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. McCann is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Henrique
McCann
Home
57.4% (467)
46.3% (296)
Away
52.7% (463)
46.5% (275)
By Period
Henrique
McCann
P1
55.4%
49.4%
P2
56.7%
44.5%
P3
54.0%
46.0%
OT
22.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |