Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs McCann 46.2% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 74.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 67.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 54.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Henrique
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Henrique
McCann
Last 9: Henrique 4-5 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
McCann
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
3
Henrique
McCann
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
0
2
Henrique
McCann
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
48.4% (188)
+9.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
33.3% (15)
+39.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
31.7% (41)
+13.8%
On power play, Henrique has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Henrique
McCann
Home
56.4% (518)
52.8% (125)
Away
54.9% (492)
36.1% (119)
By Period
Henrique
McCann
P1
56.0%
37.7%
P2
55.2%
50.5%
P3
56.2%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |