Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs Dickinson 44.1% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 52.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 76.5%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 63.4%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Henrique
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Dickinson
Last 8: Henrique 3-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
2
Henrique
Dickinson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Dickinson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
Henrique
Dickinson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
44.5% (398)
+8.4%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
22.2% (9)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
35.5% (62)
+19.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Henrique is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Henrique shoots left. Dickinson is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Henrique
Dickinson
Home
55.3% (571)
45.2% (221)
Away
49.8% (512)
40.7% (248)
By Period
Henrique
Dickinson
P1
53.3%
45.1%
P2
52.4%
40.0%
P3
52.4%
44.7%
OT
53.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |