Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Dickinson 49.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 70.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 51.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 70.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Henrique
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Henrique
Dickinson
Last 5: Henrique 3-2 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Dickinson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
2
Henrique
Dickinson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
51.5% (695)
+6.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
54.5% (11)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
42.4% (210)
+3.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Henrique
Dickinson
Home
56.4% (518)
53.6% (489)
Away
54.9% (492)
44.7% (427)
By Period
Henrique
Dickinson
P1
56.0%
47.7%
P2
55.2%
52.1%
P3
56.2%
47.8%
OT
0.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
55.6%
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |