Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 49.1% vs Beagle 55.0% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 88.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 74.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 74.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Henrique
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Henrique
Beagle
Last 7: Henrique 1-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Henrique
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
4
Henrique
Beagle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (509)
55.7% (318)
-4.8%
Power Play
46.4% (97)
45.5% (11)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
58.3% (115)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Henrique is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Henrique shoots left. Beagle is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Henrique
Beagle
Home
49.4% (326)
58.0% (226)
Away
48.6% (354)
54.1% (218)
By Period
Henrique
Beagle
P1
50.2%
54.7%
P2
53.4%
57.7%
P3
44.2%
56.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.0%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |