Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Beagle 55.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 80.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 76.0%
Neutral zone
Beagle 50.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Henrique
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
57.2% (353)
-2.8%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
87.5% (16)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
51.6% (95)
-5.4%
On power play, Beagle has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Henrique
Beagle
Home
55.3% (237)
62.0% (200)
Away
55.8% (260)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Henrique
Beagle
P1
53.5%
55.8%
P2
64.8%
60.1%
P3
47.3%
54.5%
OT
58.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |