Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Beagle 57.0% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 72.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 65.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 74.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Henrique
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Beagle
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Henrique
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Henrique
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
58.1% (485)
-13.6%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
84.6% (13)
-37.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
55.4% (139)
-12.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Henrique is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Henrique shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Henrique
Beagle
Home
46.9% (680)
57.0% (307)
Away
42.5% (701)
59.1% (330)
By Period
Henrique
Beagle
P1
43.0%
59.1%
P2
46.2%
59.8%
P3
46.2%
56.4%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |