Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Bailey 45.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 70.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 89.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 87.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Henrique
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Bailey
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Bailey
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,465)
45.8% (1,991)
+4.9%
Power Play
54.5% (1,760)
48.1% (295)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,794)
39.9% (281)
+6.4%
On power play, Henrique has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,431).
Henrique shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bailey
Home
52.5% (6,376)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
48.8% (6,666)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Henrique
Bailey
P1
50.6%
46.5%
P2
51.4%
44.8%
P3
50.2%
44.4%
OT
40.6%
51.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
50.6%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2014 | OT | 03:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |