Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Bailey 44.3% (+16.4%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 57.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Henrique
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
39.8% (83)
+14.6%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
27.3% (22)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
80.0% (5)
-33.8%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bailey
Home
55.3% (237)
33.3% (48)
Away
55.8% (260)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Henrique
Bailey
P1
53.5%
33.3%
P2
64.8%
47.2%
P3
47.3%
39.4%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%