Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.5%). Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 49.1% vs Aucoin 48.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 56.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 56.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Henrique
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Aucoin
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Aucoin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Aucoin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Aucoin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (509)
47.8% (320)
+3.1%
Power Play
46.4% (97)
59.1% (22)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
50.0% (2)
-10.8%
On power play, Aucoin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Henrique is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Henrique shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Henrique
Aucoin
Home
49.4% (326)
52.6% (154)
Away
48.6% (354)
45.3% (190)
By Period
Henrique
Aucoin
P1
50.2%
42.5%
P2
53.4%
52.9%
P3
44.2%
52.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.0%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |