Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Aucoin 48.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 60.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 65.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Henrique
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Aucoin
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Aucoin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Aucoin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Aucoin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
47.8% (448)
+3.0%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
54.8% (31)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
75.0% (4)
-28.8%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Henrique
Aucoin
Home
52.5% (6,418)
52.6% (215)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
45.1% (268)
By Period
Henrique
Aucoin
P1
50.6%
45.8%
P2
51.4%
49.2%
P3
50.2%
51.9%
OT
40.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |