Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Couture 49.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 61.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 57.5%
Neutral zone
Couture 61.4%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Henrique
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Couture
Last 8: Henrique 3-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
4
Henrique
Couture
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Couture
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
44.9% (78)
+10.5%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
57.1% (7)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
63.6% (11)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Henrique
Couture
Home
56.4% (553)
45.2% (62)
Away
50.0% (530)
52.9% (34)
By Period
Henrique
Couture
P1
51.7%
55.2%
P2
55.5%
44.4%
P3
52.5%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Logan Couture |