Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Granlund 47.4% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 71.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 51.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 58.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Henrique
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Henrique
Granlund
Last 5: Henrique 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Henrique
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
47.7% (1,001)
+6.7%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
53.4% (73)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
40.2% (132)
+6.0%
On even strength, Henrique has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Henrique
Granlund
Home
55.3% (237)
45.9% (582)
Away
55.8% (260)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Henrique
Granlund
P1
53.5%
48.6%
P2
64.8%
46.7%
P3
47.3%
46.9%
OT
58.3%
31.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |