Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 55.5%). Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Hischier 55.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 69.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 58.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Henrique
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Henrique
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Henrique
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
55.8% (1,228)
+1.7%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
62.1% (282)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
47.6% (267)
-2.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hischier
Home
56.4% (518)
56.5% (867)
Away
54.9% (492)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Henrique
Hischier
P1
56.0%
57.9%
P2
55.2%
55.9%
P3
56.2%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |