Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 82.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 70.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 62.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Henrique
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Henrique
Gaustad
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
0
Henrique
Gaustad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
8
Henrique
Gaustad
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
8
Henrique
Gaustad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,465)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.5%
Power Play
54.5% (1,760)
65.4% (188)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,794)
54.8% (1,290)
-8.5%
On power play, Gaustad has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,431).
Henrique shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Henrique
Gaustad
Home
52.5% (6,376)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.8% (6,666)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Henrique
Gaustad
P1
50.6%
58.2%
P2
51.4%
56.4%
P3
50.2%
58.3%
OT
40.6%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
50.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |