Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.1%). Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Colton 51.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 51.0%
Defensive zone
Colton 51.3%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Henrique
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Henrique
Colton
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Henrique
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
4
Henrique
Colton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
3
Henrique
Colton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
51.6% (1,800)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
48.8% (162)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
34.5% (29)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Henrique
Colton
Home
52.5% (6,418)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Henrique
Colton
P1
50.6%
53.5%
P2
51.4%
52.6%
P3
50.2%
47.9%
OT
40.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 02:54 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ross Colton |