Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Colton 51.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 54.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 58.0%
Neutral zone
Colton 53.2%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Henrique
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Henrique
Colton
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Henrique
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
4
Henrique
Colton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
2
Henrique
Colton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
52.1% (741)
+3.3%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
48.3% (60)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
42.1% (19)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Henrique
Colton
Home
56.4% (553)
54.0% (411)
Away
50.0% (530)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Henrique
Colton
P1
51.7%
56.7%
P2
55.5%
53.1%
P3
52.5%
46.3%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 02:54 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Ross Colton |