Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 49.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Carter 49.8% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 59.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Henrique
Carter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
50.1% (978)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
60.0% (15)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
46.4% (138)
-0.2%
On power play, Carter has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Henrique
Carter
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.0% (506)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Henrique
Carter
P1
50.6%
50.5%
P2
51.4%
48.9%
P3
50.2%
50.0%
OT
40.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%