Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Hartman 45.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 71.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 68.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Henrique
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Henrique
Hartman
Last 6: Henrique 3-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Henrique
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Henrique
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
44.8% (830)
+11.3%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
47.8% (92)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
37.5% (16)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hartman
Home
53.5% (215)
45.0% (515)
Away
55.2% (306)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Henrique
Hartman
P1
57.7%
46.5%
P2
53.8%
39.9%
P3
51.6%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |