Adam Henrique vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 36-24 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 76.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 88.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 83.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
24
(60 meetings)
36
24
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
14
11
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
11
9
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
11
4
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
44.9% (8,756)
+5.9%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
50.7% (839)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
37.9% (879)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.5% (6,418)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Henrique
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.6%
45.1%
P2
51.4%
43.9%
P3
50.2%
45.3%
OT
40.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |